SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Estudiantes Merida win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palestino in this match.
| Result | ||
| Palestino | Draw | Estudiantes Merida |
51.63% ( -0.01) | 23.8% ( 0.01) | 24.57% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.95% ( -0.07) | 46.05% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.65% ( -0.07) | 68.35% ( 0.06) |
| Palestino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( -0.03) | 17.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.4% ( -0.05) | 48.6% ( 0.05) |
| Estudiantes Merida Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.18% ( -0.04) | 32.81% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.62% ( -0.05) | 69.38% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palestino | Draw | Estudiantes Merida |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5% 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 51.63% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.8% | 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 24.57% |
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