SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 68.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 13.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Palestino |
68.07% ( 0.16) | 18.77% ( -0.08) | 13.15% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.64% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.44% ( 0.16) | 41.56% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.04% ( 0.16) | 63.96% ( -0.16) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.8% ( 0.09) | 11.2% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.28% ( 0.19) | 35.71% ( -0.19) |
| Palestino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.02% ( -0.03) | 42.97% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.73% ( -0.03) | 79.27% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortaleza | Draw | Palestino |
| 2-0 @ 11.53% 1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.87% Total : 68.06% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 18.77% | 0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.4% Total : 13.15% |
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