Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 26, 2023 at 1am UK
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Estudiantes Merida and Palestino.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes Merida win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes Merida win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Palestino win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result |
| Estudiantes Merida | Draw | Palestino |
40.86% ( 0.15) | 26.49% ( -0.03) | 32.65% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( 0.06) |
| 47.23% ( 0.1) | 52.76% ( -0.1) |
| 25.6% ( 0.08) | 74.39% ( -0.08) |
| 74.56% ( 0.12) | 25.44% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.73% ( 0.17) | 60.26% ( -0.17) |
| 69.71% ( -0.04) | 30.28% ( 0.03) |
