SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 35.96%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Palestino win was 1-0 (11.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Palestino | Draw | San Lorenzo |
35.28% ( -1.9) | 28.76% ( 0.01) | 35.96% ( 1.9) |
| Both teams to score 45.56% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.02% ( 0.05) | 60.98% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.02% ( 0.04) | 80.98% ( -0.04) |
| Palestino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% ( -1.19) | 32.72% ( 1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.73% ( -1.36) | 69.27% ( 1.36) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.72% ( 1.29) | 32.28% ( -1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.22% ( 1.43) | 68.78% ( -1.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palestino | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.46)3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.27% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.76% | 0-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.45)1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.75% Total : 35.96% |
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