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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 12, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima

Cristal
0 - 2
Racing


Tavara (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chancalay (74'), Piatti (76')
Schelotto (1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Sporting CristalDrawRacing Club
36.15%26.76%37.09%
Both teams to score 51.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6%53.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07%74.93%
Sporting Cristal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62%28.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87%64.13%
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17%27.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57%63.42%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Cristal 36.15%
    Racing Club 37.08%
    Draw 26.76%
Sporting CristalDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 6.26%
3-1 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 36.15%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 7.9%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 8.14%
0-2 @ 6.46%
1-3 @ 3.47%
0-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 37.08%

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