Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The Strongest would win this match.
