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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 27, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando

Boca Juniors
3 - 0
The Strongest

Almendra (3'), Villa (44'), Valverde (56' og.)
Almendra (20'), Cardona (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mateos (48')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawThe Strongest
60.09%24.17%15.75%
Both teams to score 40.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.96%58.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.28%78.72%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83%19.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.16%50.84%
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.71%49.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.84%84.16%
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 60.08%
    The Strongest 15.75%
    Draw 24.17%
Boca JuniorsDrawThe Strongest
1-0 @ 15.6%
2-0 @ 12.89%
2-1 @ 9.12%
3-0 @ 7.1%
3-1 @ 5.02%
4-0 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 2.07%
3-2 @ 1.78%
5-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 60.08%
1-1 @ 11.04%
0-0 @ 9.45%
2-2 @ 3.23%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 6.69%
1-2 @ 3.91%
0-2 @ 2.37%
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.75%

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