Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 52.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
