Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Santos had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The Strongest would win this match.
