Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
