U. Catolica
0 - 1
Libertad

Manuel Tevez (37'), Ona (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bogarin (38')
Cougo (15'), Mejia (21'), Ferreira (56'), Martinez (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Universidad Catolica and Club Libertad.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Universidad Catolica	Draw	Club Libertad
45.1%	26.55%	28.35%

Both teams to score 49.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.38%

54.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.05%

75.95%

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.87%

24.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.57%

58.43%

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.66%

34.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.96%

71.04%

Score Analysis

Universidad Catolica 45.09%

Club Libertad 28.35%

Draw 26.55%

Universidad Catolica	Draw	Club Libertad
1-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 8.37% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.09%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 8.86% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.35%