Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
