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Copa Libertadores | First Round
Mar 3, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
L(

U. Catolica
3 - 0
Liverpool

Manuel Tevez (37'), Chala (44'), De Los Santos (74')
Alzugaray (8'), De Los Santos (31'), Chala (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Perez (67'), Fernandez (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Universidad Catolica and Liverpool.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.

Result
Universidad CatolicaDrawLiverpool
48.77%26.42%24.8%
Both teams to score 47.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.7%56.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.66%77.33%
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86%23.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43%57%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.78%38.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.02%74.98%
Score Analysis
    Universidad Catolica 48.77%
    Liverpool 24.8%
    Draw 26.41%
Universidad CatolicaDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 12.94%
2-0 @ 9.47%
2-1 @ 9.11%
3-0 @ 4.62%
3-1 @ 4.45%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 1.69%
4-1 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 48.77%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 8.84%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 8.51%
1-2 @ 5.99%
0-2 @ 4.09%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 24.8%

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