Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.