Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jorge Wilstermann win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jorge Wilstermann win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.