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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 21, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona
SC

Arsenal
1 - 1
Cristal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawSporting Cristal
49.77%25.74%24.48%
Both teams to score 49.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.98%54.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.54%75.45%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27%21.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1%54.9%
Sporting Cristal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76%37.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.97%74.02%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 49.77%
    Sporting Cristal 24.48%
    Draw 25.74%
Arsenal SarandiDrawSporting Cristal
1-0 @ 12.35%
2-0 @ 9.43%
2-1 @ 9.31%
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-0 @ 1.83%
4-1 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 8.09%
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 7.99%
1-2 @ 6.03%
0-2 @ 3.95%
1-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.52%
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 24.48%

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