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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 12, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Ceara
0 - 0
Arsenal


Otavio (37')
FT

Papa (2'), Carabajal (50')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Ceara and Arsenal Sarandi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 51.28%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
CearaDrawArsenal Sarandi
51.28%23.99%24.72%
Both teams to score 54.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26%46.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31%68.99%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.76%18.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.73%49.26%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94%33.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.35%69.64%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 51.27%
    Arsenal Sarandi 24.72%
    Draw 23.99%
CearaDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 8.73%
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-0 @ 4.95%
3-2 @ 3.03%
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 51.27%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 6.03%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.67%
1-2 @ 6.29%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 24.72%

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