Arsenal
3 - 1
Bolivar

Albertengo (14', 47'), Sepulveda (45+3')
Sepulveda (43'), Baez (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Quinteros (64')
Miranda (15'), Villamil (45'), Justiniano (77'), Guitian (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Bolivar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Sarandi would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Sarandi	Draw	Bolivar
53.81%	25.73%	20.45%

Both teams to score 44.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.37%

57.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.61%

78.39%

Arsenal Sarandi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.5%

21.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.46%

54.54%

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.73%

43.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.48%

79.52%

Score Analysis

Arsenal Sarandi 53.8%

Bolivar 20.45%

Draw 25.73%

Arsenal Sarandi	Draw	Bolivar
1-0 @ 14.29% 2-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 9.21% 3-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 4.72% 4-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.01% Total : 53.8%	1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 9.3% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 7.79% 1-2 @ 5.02% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.08% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.45%