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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 19, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima

Cristal
2 - 0
Rentistas

Hohberg (41'), Tavara (67')
Chavez (19')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodriguez (31'), Sosa (70')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Cristal would win this match.

Result
Sporting CristalDrawRentistas
39.04%23.67%37.29%
Both teams to score 62.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.78%39.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.45%61.55%
Sporting Cristal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63%20.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.22%52.78%
Rentistas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.78%21.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.89%54.1%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Cristal 39.04%
    Rentistas 37.29%
    Draw 23.67%
Sporting CristalDrawRentistas
2-1 @ 8.48%
1-0 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 5.47%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 3.49%
3-0 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3%
Total : 39.04%
1-1 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 6.58%
0-0 @ 4.32%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 8.27%
0-1 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 4.27%
2-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.66%
2-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 37.29%

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