Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 48.58%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.
