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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16
Nov 27, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez

Junior
2 - 1
Union La Calera

Cetre (44'), Borja (84')
Borja (19'), Fuentes (40'), Cetre (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rodriguez (60')
Rodriguez (40'), Seymour (90+6')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 16 clash between Atletico Junior and Union La Calera.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 48.58%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.

Result
Atletico JuniorDrawUnion La Calera
48.58%27.98%23.44%
Both teams to score 42.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.51%62.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.91%82.09%
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03%25.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02%60.98%
Union La Calera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.99%43.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.7%79.3%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Junior 48.58%
    Union La Calera 23.44%
    Draw 27.97%
Atletico JuniorDrawUnion La Calera
1-0 @ 15.06%
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 8.57%
3-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-1 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 48.58%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 3.61%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 9.42%
1-2 @ 5.36%
0-2 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.12%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 23.44%


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