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Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Oct 30, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Profesor Alberto Suppici

Plaza Colonia
0 - 1
Junior


Ruiz Diaz (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gutierrez (87')
Fuentes (61')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Plaza Colonia and Atletico Junior.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 44.82%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 1-0 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Junior in this match.

Result
Plaza ColoniaDrawAtletico Junior
27.07%28.1%44.82%
Both teams to score 44.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.21%60.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.17%80.83%
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.27%38.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.53%75.47%
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93%27.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56%62.43%
Score Analysis
    Plaza Colonia 27.07%
    Atletico Junior 44.81%
    Draw 28.1%
Plaza ColoniaDrawAtletico Junior
1-0 @ 9.94%
2-1 @ 6.16%
2-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.49%
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 27.07%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.1%
0-1 @ 13.69%
0-2 @ 8.95%
1-2 @ 8.49%
0-3 @ 3.9%
1-3 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-4 @ 1.27%
1-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 44.81%


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