Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 44.82%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 1-0 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Junior in this match.
