Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.05%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest Ceara win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
