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Copa Libertadores | Second Round
Mar 16, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
MW

Bolivar
5 - 0
Wanderers

Ramos (4', 52'), Miranda Villagomez (40'), Macaluso (57' og.), Abrego (90+4')
Granell (21'), Miranda Villagomez (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lopez (45+2')
Hernandez (45+1')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Bolivar and Montevideo Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 70.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 11.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.

Result
BolivarDrawMontevideo Wanderers
70.89%17.31%11.8%
Both teams to score 51.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.83%38.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.56%60.44%
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43%9.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.97%32.03%
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.05%42.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.75%79.24%
Score Analysis
    Bolivar 70.88%
    Montevideo Wanderers 11.8%
    Draw 17.31%
BolivarDrawMontevideo Wanderers
2-0 @ 11.31%
1-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 9.57%
3-0 @ 8.85%
3-1 @ 7.48%
4-0 @ 5.19%
4-1 @ 4.39%
3-2 @ 3.16%
5-0 @ 2.44%
5-1 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 1.86%
6-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 70.88%
1-1 @ 8.15%
0-0 @ 4.11%
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 17.31%
0-1 @ 3.47%
1-2 @ 3.45%
0-2 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.14%
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 11.8%

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