Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 52.28%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
