Bolivar
2 - 1
Arsenal

Fernandez (42'), Saavedra (61'), Bottinelli (90+3')
Candia (33'), Carabajal (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Bolivar and Arsenal Sarandi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.28%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolivar in this match.

Result
Bolivar	Draw	Arsenal Sarandi
51.11%	21.15%	27.75%

Both teams to score 67.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.31%

30.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.98%

52.02%

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.5%

12.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.5%

38.5%

Arsenal Sarandi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.63%

22.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.13%

55.87%

Score Analysis

Bolivar 51.11%

Arsenal Sarandi 27.75%

Draw 21.15%

Bolivar	Draw	Arsenal Sarandi
2-1 @ 9.05% 3-1 @ 6.28% 2-0 @ 6.05% 1-0 @ 5.82% 3-2 @ 4.7% 3-0 @ 4.19% 4-1 @ 3.26% 4-2 @ 2.44% 4-0 @ 2.18% 5-1 @ 1.36% 4-3 @ 1.22% 5-2 @ 1.02% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.65% Total : 51.11%	1-1 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 6.78% 0-0 @ 2.8% 3-3 @ 2.35% Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.15%	1-2 @ 6.52% 0-1 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-2 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.27% 1-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.22% Total : 27.75%