Just like the first leg, we anticipate a close match on Wednesday, but with the football gods smiling on Braga, who have an excellent shot-stopper between the sticks, we believe they will have learned a lot from their exit at this tournament on penalties last year.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
-0.03) 
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