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Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid
AP

Bragantino
1 - 0
Athletico PR

Raul (8')
Santos (18'), Henrique (88'), Cravero (90+5')
Schwengber (45+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Christian (57'), Canobbio (70'), Rocha (86'), Gamarra (88'), Cuello (88'), Pablo (90+2'), Gabriel (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 1-1 Bragantino
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Bragantino 2-1 Athletico Paranaense

While both these sides have been bang-average this season, Bragantino have maintained an impressive home record and are on a three-match winning streak at this venue. This should be a close contest but we fancy the hosts to edge the result by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bragantino in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bragantino.

Result
BragantinoDrawAthletico Paranaense
45.08% (0.316 0.32) 26.76% (0.197 0.2) 28.16% (-0.515 -0.52)
Both teams to score 49.07% (-0.89100000000001 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.47% (-0.997 -1)55.53% (0.997 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.3% (-0.823 -0.82)76.7% (0.824 0.82)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (-0.286 -0.29)24.54% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)59.02% (0.403 0.4)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.03% (-0.92899999999999 -0.93)34.97% (0.929 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.29% (-0.987 -0.99)71.71% (0.988 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 45.07%
    Athletico Paranaense 28.16%
    Draw 26.76%
BragantinoDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.05% (0.36 0.36)
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 45.07%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.325 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 9.02% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.74% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 28.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barcelona 1-1 Bragantino
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-1 Bragantino
Saturday, July 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Bragantino
Sunday, July 7 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 3-1 Atletico GO
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Bragantino
Saturday, June 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Bragantino
Wednesday, June 26 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 1-1 Athletico PR
Friday, July 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-0 Ypiranga Erechim
Saturday, July 13 at 10pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-3 Bahia
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-2 Sao Paulo
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro


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