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Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
B

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Bragantino

Silva (66'), Luciano (90')
Arboleda (69'), Rato (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sasha (44'), Lincoln (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-2 Sao Paulo
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 3-1 Atletico GO
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Sao Paulo 1-1 Bragantino

Three out of the last six encounters between Sao Paulo and Braga have ended in draws, and we predict Sunday's clash will follow the same pattern. The home side have not been flawless at home, while the visitors have shown some resilience on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 49.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawBragantino
49.42% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 25.91% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 24.68% (-0.115 -0.11)
Both teams to score 48.83% (-0.263 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5% (-0.289 -0.29)54.5% (0.293 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15% (-0.243 -0.24)75.85% (0.247 0.25)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)22.09% (0.092000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.56% (-0.138 -0.14)55.44% (0.141 0.14)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-0.264 -0.26)37.33% (0.268 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (-0.261 -0.26)74.12% (0.26400000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 49.42%
    Bragantino 24.68%
    Draw 25.9%
Sao PauloDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 12.45% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.055 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 49.42%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.12% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 24.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-2 Sao Paulo
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-1 Bahia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Criciuma
Friday, June 28 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 4-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, June 20 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 2-2 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 3-1 Atletico GO
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Bragantino
Saturday, June 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Bragantino
Wednesday, June 26 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Vitoria
Sunday, June 23 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Bragantino
Friday, June 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Juventude
Saturday, June 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro


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