Three out of the last six encounters between Sao Paulo and Braga have ended in draws, and we predict Sunday's clash will follow the same pattern. The home side have not been flawless at home, while the visitors have shown some resilience on the road.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 49.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
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