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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 6, 2021 at 11pm UK
 

Sarmiento
1 - 0
Rosario

Graciani (57')
Graciani (22'), Bravo (64'), Nunez (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Torrent (64'), Infantino (79'), Garay (86')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Sarmiento and Rosario Central.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 35.48%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (12.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sarmiento in this match.

Result
SarmientoDrawRosario Central
35.48%29.9%34.62%
Both teams to score 42.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.22%64.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.26%83.73%
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41%34.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.69%71.3%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83%35.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.08%71.91%
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 35.47%
    Rosario Central 34.62%
    Draw 29.89%
SarmientoDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-1 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 6.85%
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.47%
1-1 @ 13.49%
0-0 @ 12.16%
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.89%
0-1 @ 12.71%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 6.64%
1-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 34.62%

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