Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.
