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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Jul 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito

Rosario
1 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Vecchio (90+4')
Blanco (48'), Martinez (69'), Zabala (74'), Almada (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ariel Fernandez (17'), Tarragona (37')
Ariel Fernandez (36')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Rosario Central and Velez Sarsfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawVelez Sarsfield
43.13%26.82%30.05%
Both teams to score 49.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.11%54.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.82%76.18%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78%25.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03%59.97%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81%33.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2%69.79%
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 43.13%
    Velez Sarsfield 30.05%
    Draw 26.81%
Rosario CentralDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 11.53%
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.94%
3-1 @ 4.02%
3-0 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.13%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8.37%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.23%
1-2 @ 7.01%
0-2 @ 5.09%
1-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.05%

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