Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
