Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.
