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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 20, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Ceara
2 - 0
Bolivar

Lima (45'), Vinicius (83' pen.)
Oliveira (10'), Vinicius (42'), Saulo (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bejarano (23'), Saavedra (61')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Ceara and Bolivar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
CearaDrawBolivar
53.15%26.48%20.37%
Both teams to score 42.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.79%60.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.6%80.4%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14%22.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41%56.6%
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.12%44.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.16%80.84%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 53.15%
    Bolivar 20.37%
    Draw 26.47%
CearaDrawBolivar
1-0 @ 15.14%
2-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 8.95%
3-0 @ 5.5%
3-1 @ 4.4%
4-0 @ 2.03%
3-2 @ 1.76%
4-1 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 53.15%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.22%
1-2 @ 4.86%
0-2 @ 3.29%
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 20.37%

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