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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria

LDU Quito
3 - 0
Cesar Vallejo

Julio (29'), Alvarado (76'), Alzugaray (88')
Julio (31'), Zubeldia (32'), Alvarado (45+2'), Alzugaray (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ascues (34'), Mena (45+1'), Quinones (90+4')
Vanegas (50')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: LDU Quito 0-0 Botafogo
Wednesday, June 7 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 3-2 Magallanes
Friday, June 9 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: LDU Quito 2-0 Cesar Vallejo

Given that LDU Quito remain unbeaten in the Copa Sudamericana this year, we expect to hosts to cruise to a comfortable victory over Cesar Vallejo, who have one of the worst defensive records in the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 80.21%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 6.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.38%) and 1-0 (11.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Cesar Vallejo win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU QuitoDrawCesar Vallejo
80.21% (1.62 1.62) 13.71% (-0.82 -0.82) 6.08% (-0.796 -0.8)
Both teams to score 38.83% (-1.617 -1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.12% (0.529 0.53)40.88% (-0.526 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.73% (0.539 0.54)63.27% (-0.535 -0.53)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.92% (0.49499999999999 0.49)8.08% (-0.4909 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.6% (1.227 1.23)28.4% (-1.223 -1.22)
Cesar Vallejo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.25% (-1.995 -2)57.75% (1.999 2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.54% (-1.13 -1.13)89.46% (1.135 1.14)
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 80.19%
    Cesar Vallejo 6.08%
    Draw 13.71%
LDU QuitoDrawCesar Vallejo
2-0 @ 14.76% (0.34 0.34)
3-0 @ 12.38% (0.57 0.57)
1-0 @ 11.73%
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.318 -0.32)
4-0 @ 7.79% (0.536 0.54)
3-1 @ 6.8% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 4.28% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 3.92% (0.355 0.36)
5-1 @ 2.15% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.15 -0.15)
6-0 @ 1.64% (0.184 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.064 -0.06)
6-1 @ 0.9% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 80.19%
1-1 @ 6.44% (-0.414 -0.41)
0-0 @ 4.67% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-2 @ 2.23% (-0.236 -0.24)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 13.71%
0-1 @ 2.56% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 1.77% (-0.234 -0.23)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 6.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: LDU Quito 0-0 Botafogo
Wednesday, June 7 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Magallanes 1-1 LDU Quito
Wednesday, May 24 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Botafogo 0-0 LDU Quito
Friday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: LDU Quito 4-0 Magallanes
Thursday, April 20 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 1-2 LDU Quito
Wednesday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: LDU Quito 4-0 Delfin
Wednesday, March 8 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 3-2 Magallanes
Friday, June 9 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 2-3 Botafogo
Friday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Magallanes 2-2 Cesar Vallejo
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Botafogo 4-0 Cesar Vallejo
Friday, April 21 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 1-2 LDU Quito
Wednesday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 3-1 Binacional
Thursday, March 9 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana


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