SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesar Vallejo win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Magallanes had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesar Vallejo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Magallanes win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesar Vallejo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cesar Vallejo | Draw | Magallanes |
56% ( 0.29) | 22.96% ( -0.14) | 21.03% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.41% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.74% ( 0.41) | 46.26% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.45% ( 0.38) | 68.55% ( -0.38) |
| Cesar Vallejo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.66% ( 0.25) | 16.34% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.06% ( 0.44) | 45.93% ( -0.45) |
| Magallanes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( 0.08) | 36.16% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.06% ( 0.08) | 72.94% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cesar Vallejo | Draw | Magallanes |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 56% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 21.03% |
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