Penarol
5 - 1
Huancayo

Alvarez Martinez (16', 80'), Torres (33'), Kagelmacher (45'), Terans (69' pen.)
Gargano (59')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Liliu (17')
Rojas (36'), Valoyes (43'), Barreto (53')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Penarol and Sport Huancayo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Sport Huancayo had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Sport Huancayo win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Sport Huancayo
48.43%	24.54%	27.02%

Both teams to score 55.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.73%

47.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.51%

69.49%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.42%

19.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.5%

51.5%

Sport Huancayo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.51%

31.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.13%

67.87%

Score Analysis

Penarol 48.43%

Sport Huancayo 27.02%

Draw 24.54%

Penarol	Draw	Sport Huancayo
1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.47% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 5.15% 3-0 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3% Total : 48.43%	1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 6.16% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.54%	0-1 @ 7.12% 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.02%