Progreso
0 - 2
Penarol

Alejandro Gallardo Gonzalez (52'), Loffreda (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kagelmacher (45+2'), A (59')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Progreso	Draw	Penarol
24.75%	27.33%	47.92%

Both teams to score 44.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.49%

59.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.14%

79.86%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.93%

40.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.29%

76.71%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.06%

24.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.43%

59.56%

Score Analysis

Progreso 24.75%

Penarol 47.92%

Draw 27.33%

Progreso	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 9.14% 2-1 @ 5.81% 2-0 @ 4.18% 3-1 @ 1.77% 3-0 @ 1.27% 3-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.35% Total : 24.75%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 9.99% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.33%	0-1 @ 13.87% 0-2 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-3 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.55% 1-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.23% Total : 47.92%