Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 39.97%. A draw had a probability of 33.2% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 26.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (6.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.58%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.