Emelec
2 - 0
Tolima

Angulo (70' og.), Rojas (72')
Mejia (5'), Cevallos (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Castrillon (15'), Mosquera (68'), Catano (74')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Emelec and Deportes Tolima.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Deportes Tolima win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emelec would win this match.

Result
Emelec	Draw	Deportes Tolima
48.03%	24.95%	27.02%

Both teams to score 53.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51%

49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.92%

71.08%

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.57%

20.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.12%

52.88%

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.59%

32.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.08%

68.92%

Score Analysis

Emelec 48.02%

Deportes Tolima 27.02%

Draw 24.94%

Emelec	Draw	Deportes Tolima
1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-0 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.71% Total : 48.02%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.94%	0-1 @ 7.46% 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.2% 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.6% Total : 27.02%