Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 15.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.79%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
2.56) 
-0.89) 
