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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena Pantanal

Cuiaba
1 - 1
Lanus

Sobral (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lotti (80')
Canale (53'), Diaz (54'), Aguirre (83')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cuiaba and Lanus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Athletico PR
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Lanus 2-2 Union
Thursday, March 28 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
CuiabaDrawLanus
52.6% (1.018 1.02) 26.15% (-0.502 -0.5) 21.26% (-0.517 -0.52)
Both teams to score 44.48% (0.687 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.75% (1.23 1.23)58.25% (-1.231 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.12% (0.956 0.96)78.88% (-0.956 -0.96)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (0.96899999999999 0.97)22.27% (-0.968 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.28% (1.433 1.43)55.72% (-1.434 -1.43)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.23% (0.174 0.17)42.77% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.9% (0.147 0.15)79.1% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Cuiaba 52.59%
    Lanus 21.26%
    Draw 26.15%
CuiabaDrawLanus
1-0 @ 14.3% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-0 @ 10.74% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.141 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.38% (0.209 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.198 0.2)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.134 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.093 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 52.59%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 9.53% (-0.454 -0.45)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 21.26%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Athletico PR
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, December 3 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-2 Internacional
Wednesday, November 29 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, November 26 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 2-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-3 Cuiaba
Thursday, November 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Lanus 2-2 Union
Thursday, March 28 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 0-1 Lanus
Thursday, March 21 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 2-3 Lanus
Monday, March 11 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 0-1 C. Cordoba
Thursday, March 7 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 0-4 Lanus
Sunday, March 3 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 1-1 Banfield
Monday, February 26 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division


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