Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.