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Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Apr 14, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Parque Capurro

Fenix
0 - 2
Torque


Alfaro (38'), Amaral (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Del Prete (19'), Catarozzi (86')
Pena (5'), Guruceaga Fagundez (44')
Scotto (74')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Fenix and Montevideo City Torque.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
FenixDrawMontevideo City Torque
46.54%23.89%29.57%
Both teams to score 59.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.27%42.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87%65.13%
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45%18.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.19%49.81%
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67%27.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22%62.78%
Score Analysis
    Fenix 46.54%
    Montevideo City Torque 29.57%
    Draw 23.89%
FenixDrawMontevideo City Torque
2-1 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 8.54%
2-0 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 5.24%
3-0 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 1.7%
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 46.54%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.05%
0-0 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-1 @ 6.58%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 29.57%

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