Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenix would win this match.