Torque
1 - 2
Penarol

Pereira (18')
Rak (49'), Allende (52'), Coccaro (68'), Del Prete (71'), Arismendi (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Terans (56'), A (65')
Alvarez (36'), Torres (45'), Gargano (48'), Terans (86'), Kagelmacher (90+2')
Cardozo (45')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Montevideo City Torque	Draw	Penarol
28.95%	28.58%	42.47%

Both teams to score 44.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.43%

61.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.58%

81.42%

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.38%

37.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.6%

74.4%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3%

28.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.48%

64.52%

Score Analysis

Montevideo City Torque 28.95%

Penarol 42.46%

Draw 28.57%

Montevideo City Torque	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 6.44% 2-0 @ 5.16% 3-1 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.7% Total : 28.95%	1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.57%	0-1 @ 13.47% 0-2 @ 8.41% 1-2 @ 8.23% 0-3 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.09% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.6% Total : 42.46%