Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fenix in this match.
