Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
