Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 42%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.