Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guairena win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Club Nacional had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guairena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Club Nacional win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
