Independiente
3 - 1
Torque

Romero (63'), Herrera (71'), Arismendi (90+1' og.)
Barreto (18'), Costa (37')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Del Prete (49')
Allende (35'), Brun (42'), Del Prete (64')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente and Montevideo City Torque.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Montevideo City Torque
40.86%	23.53%	35.61%

Both teams to score 63.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.26%

38.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.95%

61.05%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.66%

19.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.89%

51.11%

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.15%

21.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.92%

55.08%

Score Analysis

Independiente 40.86%

Montevideo City Torque 35.61%

Draw 23.52%

Independiente	Draw	Montevideo City Torque
2-1 @ 8.68% 1-0 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 5.7% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.33% Total : 40.86%	1-1 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 6.6% 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 8.03% 0-1 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.61%