Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente and Montevideo City Torque.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
