Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Santa Fe had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Santa Fe win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.