Independiente
1 - 1
Boca Juniors

Togni (25')
Togni (54'), Messiniti (64'), Blanco (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zambrano (55')
Medina (47'), Campuzano (57'), Rojo (60'), Ezequiel Almendra (76'), Izquierdoz (78'), Tevez (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Independiente and Boca Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Boca Juniors
32.6%	27.92%	39.48%

Both teams to score 47.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.74%

58.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.11%

78.89%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.88%

33.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.28%

69.72%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.23%

28.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.38%

64.62%

Score Analysis

Independiente 32.6%

Boca Juniors 39.48%

Draw 27.91%

Independiente	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 7.25% 2-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.6%	1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.53% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.91%	0-1 @ 11.87% 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-2 @ 7.39% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.06% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.48%