Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
