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ID
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 15, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Municipal Ruminahui
B

Independiente
0 - 2
Bragantino


Bauman (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bruno (19'), Ramires (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Independiente del ValleDrawBragantino
33.75%26.6%39.65%
Both teams to score 51.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.01%52.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.42%74.58%
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32%29.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27%65.73%
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81%26.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.72%61.28%
Score Analysis
    Independiente del Valle 33.75%
    Bragantino 39.65%
    Draw 26.6%
Independiente del ValleDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 9.44%
2-1 @ 7.68%
2-0 @ 5.74%
3-1 @ 3.11%
3-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 33.75%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.77%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 10.41%
1-2 @ 8.47%
0-2 @ 6.98%
1-3 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 39.65%

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